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Monday, January 7, 2019

Consumer Video-on-Demand traffic will double by 2022


Global traffic projections
Annual global IP traffic will reach 4.8 ZB per year by 2022, or 396 exabytes (EB) per month. In 2017, the annual run rate for global IP traffic was 1.5 ZB per year, or 122 EB per month.
Global IP traffic will increase threefold over the next 5 years. Overall, IP traffic will grow at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 26 percent from 2017 to 2022. Monthly IP traffic will reach 50 GB per capita by 2022, up from 16 GB per capita in 2017.
Busy hour Internet traffic is growing more rapidly than average Internet traffic. Busy hour (or the busiest 60 minute period in a day) Internet traffic will increase by a factor of 4.8 between 2017 and 2022, and average Internet traffic will increase by a factor of 3.7.
Global internet users and devices/Connections

The number of devices connected to IP networks will be more than three times the global population by 2022. There will be 3.6 networked devices per capita by 2022, up from 2.4 networked devices per capita in 2017. There will be 28.5 billion networked devices by 2022, up from 18 billion in 2017.
M2M connections will be more than half of the global connected devices and connections by 2022. The share of M2M connections will grow from 34 percent in 2017 to 51 percent by 2022. There will be 14.6 billion M2M connections by 2022.
Smartphone traffic will exceed PC traffic. In 2018, PCs accounted for 41 percent of total IP traffic, but by 2022 PCs will account for only 19 percent of IP traffic. Smartphones will account for 44 percent of total IP traffic by 2022, up from 18 percent in 2017.
Global network access/Connectivity trends (Fixed/Mobile/Wi-Fi)
Traffic from wireless and mobile devices will account for 71 percent of total IP traffic by 2022. By 2022, wired devices will account for 29 percent of IP traffic, and Wi-Fi and mobile devices will account for 71 percent of IP traffic. In 2017, also, wired devices accounted for less than half of the global IP traffic, at 48 percent.
Globally, mobile data traffic will increase sevenfold between 2017 and 2022. Mobile data traffic will grow at a CAGR of 46 percent between 2017 and 2022, reaching 77.5 exabytes per month by 2022.
Global mobile data traffic will grow nearly twice as fast as fixed IP traffic from 2017 to 2022. Fixed IP traffic will grow at a CAGR of 24 percent between 2017 and 2022, while mobile traffic grows at a CAGR of 46 percent. Global mobile data traffic was 9 percent of total IP traffic in 2017 and will be 20 percent of total IP traffic by 2022.
Global application trends
Globally, IP video traffic will be 82 percent of all IP traffic (both business and consumer) by 2022, up from 75 percent in 2017. Global IP video traffic will grow four-fold from 2017 to 2022, a CAGR of 29 percent. Internet video traffic will grow fourfold from 2017 to 2022, a CAGR of 33 percent.
Live Internet video will account for 17 percent of Internet video traffic by 2022. Live video will grow 15-fold from 2017 to 2022.
Internet video surveillance traffic will increase sevenfold between 2017 to 2022. Globally, 3 percent of all Internet video traffic will be due to video surveillance by 2022, up from 2 percent in 2017.
Virtual Reality (VR) and Augmented Reality (AR) traffic will increase 12-fold between 2017 and 2022 globally, a CAGR of 65 percent.
Internet video to TV will increase threefold between 2017 to 2022. Internet video to TV will be 27 percent of fixed consumer Internet video traffic by 2022.
Consumer Video-on-Demand (VoD) traffic will nearly double by 2022. The amount of VoD traffic by 2022 will be equivalent to 10 billion DVDs per month.
Internet gaming traffic will grow ninefold from 2017 to 2022, a CAGR of 55 percent. Globally, Internet gaming traffic will be 4 percent of global IP traffic by 2022, up from 1 percent in 2017.
Global network performance
Broadband speeds will nearly double by 2022. By 2022, global fixed broadband speeds will reach 75.4 Mbps, up from 39 Mbps in 2017.
Global traffic topology
Content Delivery Networks (CDNs) will carry 72 percent of Internet traffic by 2022 up from 56 percent in 2017.
Thirty-three percent of service provider network capacity will be within a metro network by 2022, up from 27 percent in 2017.
Global 5G mobile highlights
5G devices and connections will be over 3 percent of global mobile devices and connections by 2022. By 2022, global mobile devices will grow from 8.6 billion in 2017 to 12.3 billion by 2022 - over 422 million of those will be 5G capable.
Nearly twelve percent of global mobile traffic will be on 5G cellular connectivity by 2022. Globally, the average 5G connection will generate 21 GB of traffic per month by 2022.
Regional highlights
IP traffic is growing fastest in the Middle East and Africa, followed by Asia Pacific. Traffic in the Middle East and Africa will grow at a CAGR of 41 percent between 2017 and 2022.
Summary of regional growth rates:
   IP traffic in Asia Pacific will reach 172.7 EB per month by 2022, growing at a CAGR of 32 percent.
     By 2022, APAC will have 2.6 billion Internet users (62 percent of population), up from 1.7 billion (41 percent of population) in 2017
     By 2022, APAC will have 13.1 billion networked devices/connections, up from 8.6 billion in 2017
     By 2022, APAC’s average fixed broadband speed will reach 98.8 Mbps, 2.1-fold growth from 2017 (46.2 Mbps)
   IP traffic in North America will reach 108.4 EB per month by 2022, growing at a CAGR of 21 percent.
     By 2022, NA will have 353 million Internet users (94 percent of population), up from 331 million (92 percent of population) in 2017
     By 2022, NA will have 5.0 billion networked devices/connections, up from 2.9 billion in 2017
     By 2022, NA’s average fixed broadband speed will reach 94.2 Mbps, 2.2-fold growth from 2017 (43.2 Mbps)
   IP traffic in Western Europe will reach 49.9 EB per month by 2022, growing at a CAGR of 22 percent.
     By 2022, WE will have 380 million Internet users (89 percent of population), up from 358 million (85 percent of population) in 2017
     By 2022, WE will have 4.0 billion networked devices/connections, up from 2.3 billion in 2017
     By 2022, WE’s average fixed broadband speed will reach 76.0 Mbps, 2.0-fold growth from 2017 (37.9 Mbps)
   IP traffic in Central and Eastern Europe will reach 25.3 EB per month by 2022, growing at a CAGR of 26 percent.
     By 2022, CEE will have 364 million Internet users (73 percent of population), up from 332 million (68 percent of population) in 2017
     By 2022, CEE will have 2.0 billion networked devices/connections, up from 1.2 billion in 2017
     By 2022, CEE’s average fixed broadband speed will reach 46.7 Mbps, 1.4-fold growth from 2017 (32.8 Mbps)
   IP traffic in the Middle East and Africa will reach 20.9 EB per month by 2022, growing at a CAGR of 41 percent.
     By 2022, MEA will have 549 million Internet users (32 percent of population), up from 388 million (23 percent of population) in 2017
     By 2022, MEA will have 2.5 billion networked devices/connections, up from 1.7 billion in 2017
     By 2022, MEA’s average fixed broadband speed will reach 20.2 Mbps, 2.6-fold growth from 2017 (7.8 Mbps)
   IP traffic in Latin America will reach 18.8 EB per month by 2022, growing at a CAGR of 21 percent.
     By 2022, LATAM will have 465 million Internet users (69 percent of population), up from 368 million (57 percent of population) in 2017
     By 2022, LATAM will have 2.0 billion networked devices/connections, up from 1.4 billion in 2017
     By 2022, LATAM’s average fixed broadband speed will reach 28.1 Mbps, 2.4-fold growth from 2017 (11.7 Mbps)